The future of UPS (NYSE: UPS); the company formerly known as United Parcel Service, looks bright despite a significant decline in income over the past year.
UPS is a modern value favorite because it provides a key service that makes ecommerce; and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), possible: delivery or logistics. If there was no UPS or FedEx (NYSE: FDX) there would be no Amazon or Walmart.com.
This makes UPS a classic value investment because it is the key to other companies’ success. Buying into enterprises is one of Warren Buffett’s favorite strategies; Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B) owns the McLane Company, which provides logistics services for a wide variety of retailers.
UPS has the potential to tap into a far larger market with the help of Amazon, Walmart (NYSE: WMT) and other ecommerce giants. After all its’ brown vans stop everywhere in town ranging from the trailer park to the country club.
Working class people are getting just as addicted to Amazon as the middle class. Last week I was at the Verizon Store, where I overheard a working-class Latina telling somebody how she depends on Amazon for diapers. That’s good news for UPS because it probably delivers those diapers.
Is UPS Making Money?
The former United Parcel Service certainly has vast value potential but is it making money? The answer is yes, but not as much money as before.
UPS’s income fell by $1.415 billion (€1.20 billion) during the 12 months between 30 June 2016 and June 30, 2016, ycharts data indicates. The delivery giant reported a net income of $4.988 billion (€4.24 billion) in June 2016 and $3.573 billion (€3.04 billion) a year later.
Judging by the net income, UPS has a good business that’s not as good as it used to be. Despite that it’s still a growing business that is making a lot of money.
Proof that UPS is still making a Lot of Money
The. ycharts numbers prove that UPS is still capable of significant growth and making a lot of money. Some highlights of UPS’s second quarter 2017 earnings report include:
Revenues that grew by $1.12 billion (€950 million) during second quarter 2017; and $3.58 billion (€3.04 billion) during the 12 months between June 2016, and June 2017. UPS reported $59.34 billion (€50.48 billion) in revenues in June 2016, revenues of $61.80 billion (€52.55 billion) in March 2017 and $62.92 billion (€53.50 billion) in revenues on June 30, 2017.
A profit margin of 8.79% on June 30, 2017.
A 4.08 earnings per share (EPS) number on 30 June 2017.
A free cash flow of $1.311 billion (€1.11 billion) on June 30, 2017.
$4.401 billion (€3.74 billion) in cash from operations on June 30, 2017. This was down dramatically from June 2016 when UPS generated $7.884 billion (€6.67 billion) in cash from operations. Although it has grown slightly since March 2017 when UPS reported $4.042 billion (€3.44 billion) in cash from operations.
Assets of $39.72 billion (€33.78 billion) on 30 June 2017, this was a slight improvement from 2016 when the assets were $38.34 billion (€32.60 billion).
Cash and short-term investments of $4.60 billion (€4.60 billion) on June 30, 2017. This was up from $3.718 billion (€3.16 billion) in March but down from $5.672 billion (€4.82 billion) in June 2016.
A market capitalization of $98.16 billion (€83.47 billion) on August 18, 2017.
An enterprise value of $111.29 billion (€94.63 billion) on August 18, 2017.
These numbers prove that UPS is a great value investment because it can take big income losses and still make a lot of money. More importantly it generated and keeps a lot of float even though the income was falling.
Why the Retail Apocalypse is Good News for UPS
The financial figures also demonstrate that UPS might just be the best retail investment around because it makes a lot of money; no matter what retailer is winning the online wars.
A big opportunity for UPS is the ongoing retail apocalypse created by Amazon’s relentless expansions. Every time a brick and mortar retailer dies it creates more business for UPS because that store’s customers are probably ordering from Amazon or Walmart.com.
The potential market for delivery is growing dramatically; because online retailers are beginning to compete directly with even low-end brick and mortar operations. By selling basics; such as diapers and laundry detergent, Amazon and Walmart.com now threaten even five and dime stores such as Dollar General (NYSE: DG).
UPS is a Great Value Investment
All this makes UPS a great value investment because it has a bright future, makes a lot of money and rewards its investors.
On June 30, 2017 UPS investors were smiling all the way to the bank with a wonderful return on equity of 236.5%, ycharts reported. That makes UPS a great growth stock with a lot of potential for the future.
Those investors were also very happy with the 83¢ (€0.71) dividend UPS paid out on August 10, 2017. That dividend was up 5¢ (€0.04) from August 2016 when it was 78¢ (€0.66). More importantly UPS’s dividend has gone up 5¢ (€0.04) a year for every year since 2013 – four years of straight increases.
Therefore UPS is a triple threat; a great value stock, an excellent dividend stock and a tremendous growth opportunity. Now we have the question how long can UPS keep it up? The answer is longer than you think, even though there are some serious threats to its future lurking out there in the retail battlefields.
A much longer version of this article previously appeared at Market Mad House.